Tag Archive for the 'Months of Inventory' Tag

Atlanta Real Estate Market Update – March 2011

Atlanta’s Spring Real Estate Market is Here!

MOI March2011 Atlanta Real Estate Market Update   March 2011What’s most notable about our Atlanta Real Estate Market right now is that as we enter the Spring seasonal market, we are witnessing a consistent drop in number of Active homes on the market each month since September of last year.  At the end of September, Atlanta Metro had 29,624 Active listings.  Each month that number has dropped to 25,303 at the end of February.

Another notable number is that the number of Pending sales, which are sales that are under contract and due to close sometime in the future, is at its highest level since October of 2009 which marked one of the first tax credit expirations from the government for first time home buyers, which we consider to a bit of a false market trend.

What does this mean?  It’s GOOD NEWS!  The number of pending homes and the ratio of pending homes to active homes is a great indicator of what the near future will hold.  With a pending ratio of 20.5% at the end of February, we are likely to see the months of inventory come down.  For Sellers and home owners, this is a good thing because we will not see prices increase as a whole until the months of inventory gets down to 6 or 7 months.  We are currently at 11.1 months.  As number of listings falls and number of pendings rise (without any government incentives) we begin to see reliable data that supply and demand are beginning to get back to where they need to be for home prices to rise.

Buyers, this is not time to sit on your hands.  Interest rates have begun to rise and are expected to continue to rise.  Home prices have been bouncing along the bottom for some time now, but as these supply and demand indicators reflect, their are less homes on the market which means more competition and less choice.  With less choice and more competition, you Buyers will begin to lose some of your power in this Buyers market, so if you are thinking of buying this year or next, putting that off is probably not going to be your best financial decision.  Contact me to set an appointment to discuss your housing needs and we can put a plan in place to best fit your specific situation.

January Atlanta Housing Update

jan2011MOI January Atlanta Housing Update

The December 2010 Atlanta housing market statistics show a remarkable increase in the inventory level of homes for sale than the same time last year, mostly because last year’s December was a reflection of an increase in demand due to the first time home-buyer tax credit ending.  This past December did not have any sort of artificial demand, nor did the other months of the 4th quarter. Read more

October Atlanta Real Estate Update

July Atlanta Real Estate Market Update

July2010Stats July Atlanta Real Estate Market Update

June showed us a good review of the First-Time Home Buyer Tax Credit Hang Over effect.  We had lots of closing which were mostly those closing that were required to get done by June 30th that were put under contract prior to May 1st.  We saw the inventory continue to drop as deals that were pending got closed.  Read more

June Atlanta Real Estate Market Update

June MOI June Atlanta Real Estate Market Update

As predicted, we saw a drop in Inventory from April from 13.3 months of inventory to 10.7 months of inventory.  This is a pretty dramatic drop, but it is a reflection of the First Time Home-Buyer tax credit ending at the end of April so we did expect to see this happen.

What does it mean when inventory drops?  Read more

May Atlanta Real Estate Market Update

MayUpdateChart May Atlanta Real Estate Market Update

With the April 30th tax credit deadline expiring for first time home buyers, May 1st brings a new real estate market for us here in Atlanta.  Of course everyone is breaking out their crystal balls to try to figure out what our market will look like without the sense of urgency that buyers have been under to get under contract by the end of April, and the urgency that Sellers have been under to get their homes on the market and sold before the tax credit expires as well. Read more

December Atlanta Real Estate Market Update

Inventory is Lowest it has been all Year!

Dec 2009 Atlanta Months of Inventory December Atlanta Real Estate Market Update

December ended with 8.4 months of inventory in the Atlanta Real Estate market based on the 39 MLS areas we track.  Fundamentally this is good news because the closer we get to 6 months of inventory, the faster we will see prices start to increase again.  There is nothing I would rather see more than prices start to increase so that I can share good news with my Sellers again, but I think we are going to see that this is a false trend and here is why: Read more

Atlanta Real Estate Market Update – July 2009

Atlanta Real Estate Market Update – July 2009

June Numbers Are Good News!

june 2009 stats Atlanta Real Estate Market Update   July 2009

Numbers improved this past month on almost all fronts.  A large increase in sales was reported and we also saw a shrink in the Months of Inventory.  Remember, to get to a market where we can expect prices to start to go back up, we are looking at that Months of Inventory number to get down near 6.0 months.  Above 6 months means that we are in a Buyers market, which we are here in Atlanta, and below 6 months would indicate a Seller’s Market (which property owners are looking forward to). Read more

Atlanta Home Starts Down in March – Is this bad or good?

According to an Atlanta Business Chronicle Story new home inventory has declined substantially with more homes closed than started every quarter for the last 30 months according to Euguene James, director of Metrostudy’s Atlanta Division.  They report that March 2009, quarterly starts fell almost 75% year over year.

This is bad news for home builders of course, but for homeowners concerned about declining prices for their resale property here in Atlanta, could this be a good thing?  I would submit that it is, in fact, it is necessary for the inventory to go down in our market.  With fewer available new homes, buyers have fewer choices and that means that those buyers who would have purchased a brand-new home will now be forced to buy a resale home.  This will naturally help to decrease the number of resale homes on the market…thus decreasing supply and increasing demand.  Our current inventory levels are at about 11 months here in Atlanta and for prices to start to rise, that number needs to get to 6 months or fewer.

With the lack of financing available to new home builders, the housing starts have been declining steadily for the last few years and will likely continue to do so until there is a demand for more housing.  This is simple real estate economics and is a natural cycle that markets go through.

So in short, I think that this is good news for the general health of our local housing market and a sign that the maket is beginning to work itself out.  Share the good news!

Keep the Faith!

sig Atlanta Home Starts Down in March   Is this bad or good?

Atlanta Real Estate Stats for March 2009

report Atlanta Real Estate Stats for March 2009I’ve published the real estate stats that I pull monthly as part of my monthly E-Newsletter that I send out to my clients and have posted the numbers and commentary on what they mean at my website, click here to view March 2009 Atlanta Real Estate Statistics. If you’d like to receive my monthly Real Estate Report e-Newsletter at no charge, click here.

Keep the Faith!

sig Atlanta Real Estate Stats for March 2009